Market Recap – 31st October

31st October 2018

The Euro and sterling were steady overnight while the Australian dollar lost ground with markets still seemingly backing the Dollar. The EUR/USD cross has levelled off around 1.134 having come under pressure yesterday following the release of data showing that Eurozone GDP growth halved to just 0.2% qoq in Q3 from an already modest 0.4% qoq in Q2. The beleaguered Italian economy posted no growth which will compound the government’s challenge of meeting its 2019 fiscal deficit target of 2.4% of GDP. The ECB has stuck to its planed tapering of its QE program and has pencilled in rate hikes after summer 2019 but it will be hoping that growth and inflation pick up to justify this monetary policy stance.

The AUD/USD cross fell below 0.71 after the release of slightly weaker than expected headline CPI inflation of 0.4% qoq in Q3. Inflation remains modest in Australia, one of the reasons along with an under pressure housing market why the RBA is in rush to even think about hiking rates. However the AUD/USD cross has ultimately remained in a narrow range in the past fortnight with markets awaiting for a stronger signal either way.