Snapshot – 9th February

9th February 2021

Global risk appetite remains buoyant, thanks in part to some dovish Federal Reserve and European Central Bank comments in the past 24 hours. FOMC members Mester, Bostic and Barkin had a similar message, namely that the slow recovery in US economic growth requires loose US monetary policy and
that higher inflation will at worst be temporary.

US 2-year Treasury yields fell in the wake of these comments back to their multi-year lows and the S&P 500 yesterday closed higher for the sixth consecutive session – the first time this has happened since late-August. In the process the index closed at a new all-time high of 3,915.6. The “safe-haven” Dollar is today down for the third consecutive session, its negative correlation with US equities firmly re-established.

All major currencies have made decent gains versus the US Dollar in the past 48 hours. After numerous failed attempts the GBP/USD cross finally breached the 1.374 level overnight. However, it has slightly underperformed the Euro with the Eurozone currency getting a boost from dovish comments by ECB
President yesterday which echoed the view of her counterparts at the Fed. At time of writing the GBP/EUR cross is down 0.6% since Friday morning.